A Look Ahead at the 2020 Democratic Primary

A Look Ahead at the 2020 Democratic Primary

Aidan O'Connor

Only 5 months into 2019, the 2020 Democratic Primary field is shaping up, as 24 candidates have announced that they will be seeking their parties’ nomination to go up against President Trump in the general election. According to FiveThirtyEight, President Trump currently has a 42% approval rating, a statistic that many Democrats are hoping to capitalize on in order to retain the whitehouse. However, Trump’s odds for reelection look favorable, an event Democrats are keen to change.

The Democratic Primary will begin on February 3 2020, with the Iowa Caucuses. In addition, the New Hampshire primary, Nevada caucus, and the South Carolina primary will take place in February as well. These early states tend to make or break a candidate’s chances at winning their parties’ nomination. Thus, many of the 24 Democratic candidates have been feverishly campaigning at these states.

Although 24 candidates have declared their candidacy, one candidate appears to be the clear front-runner. That is former Vice-President, Joe Biden. Biden was Vice-President under Barack Obama, who is one of the most popular people of the Democratic party. According to a Morning Consult poll, Biden leads the Democratic field with 39% of voters saying that they support him. Following in second is Bernie Sanders, with 19% of the support. Sanders came in second in the 2016 primary against Hillary Clinton, and is a senator from Vermont. In third is Massachusetts senator, Elizabeth Warren, with 9% saying they support her candidacy. In fourth is Kamala Harris, a freshman senator from California, who has become very popular within the party. After these candidates were Pete Buttigieg (6%), Beto O’Rourke (4%), Cory Booker (3%), and Amy Klobuchar (1%).

There will be 12 official debates, set to begin in June, 2019. 6 debates will be held during 2019, with the other 6 being held in the opening months of 2020. During the debates, candidates will explain their policy proposals and stances on certain issues. Only 10 candidates will be allowed on stage to debate at a time, and there will be debates 2 consecutive nights so the public can hear from all of the candidates.